
Originally Posted by
Thurman#1
47 TDs and 38 INTs are not awful numbers? These days? Wow, you and I must have different ideas about what awful is. I consider those pretty awful, the way that the rules are set up now. And no, Kelly's numbers don't even mean close to the same thing as Fitz's did.
In 1992, Kelly was tied for 3rd in TDs in the league. Fitz was 10th, and the worst of it is that out of those 24 TDs, 11 came in the first three games of the season before defenses figured out Chan's scheme.
In 1992, Kelly's TD:INT ratio was 1.21, 23 TDs and 19 INTs. Doesn't sound good until you realize that put him 11th in the league, whereas Fitz's worse ratio this year of 1.04 put him 8th-worst in the league, ahead of only Freeman, Grossman, Palmer, Bradford, Painter and Skelton and Ponder. Blaine Gabbert beat out Fitz in TD:INT ratio, for Pete's sake. So Kelly's numbers were well above average while Fitz's were well below-average. You CAN NOT COMPARE STATS ACROSS ERAS. Not without coming up with horribly distorted conclusions anyway.
Oh, and no, the Bills actually didn't finish 14th in OFFENSIVE points last year. They finished 14th in total points, but our defense kicked butt and scored scored 6 TDs and a safety last year, and when you add that to the one punt return TD, our points scored NOT by the offense was third in the league. I don't know what we did score in OFFENSIVE points, but it wasn't 14th.
And anyway, the problem with the offense's points scored is the same thing that happened to Fitz above. In the first three games, our offense alone, not including STs or defensive scoring, scored 35.3 PPG. We were smoking hot. For the rest of the year, 13 long, long games, we averaged 17.0 PPG from the offense. After teams figured out Chan's scheme, our offense was a popgun.