Heres a philosophical question for you: how much adjustment do you think is appopriate? I assume that these guys have established their adjustment analytics through the creation of baselines of "average" QB performance (certainly could be wrong). Now, do you think that type of approach is appropriate? I mean, we have two or three questions here, right?
1) Is it harder to play defense against the pass today? Clearly this is a yes and has resulted in inflation
2) Can we assume that great players of old would recreate their relative levels of greatness against these playing conditions? Maybe but I dont know.
I think its very possible, even probable, that the average NFL QB today is BETTER than the average NFL QB of 30 years ago. I think kids get earlier and more intense exposure to football concepts and strategy. They're being exposed to things so far before QBs of old that I've gotta think their understanding of the game is probably superior.
So when we adjust for era, do you think its fair to use an "avg qb" baseline to derive adjustments? Or do you think its possible that the QBs today are just better, even given their defensive era?
Does this make sense?