500 to one is a great exaggeration, but yeah, maybe ten to one or around there. Which is about the same as non-retreads. You don't think half of all draft picks work out, do you?
Being a successful NFL QB is a rare thing. Retreads and first-timers both fail in huge numbers.
Not sure where you see steady improvement there.
1st year: Very bad
2nd year: Fitz like year
3rd year: Very bad
4th year: Didnt play
5th year: Fitz like year
6th year: same as the 5th year
7th and 8th year: Enter Harbaugh and a monster team that has a defense that only allows 14 points per game on average and a running offense with safe passes to recievers with no one around them for 5 yards or more. Smith didnt have to do anything and any QB would have prevailed in that system.
So he improved when Harbaugh came in big deal. The rest of his years were either worse then Fitz or equal to Fitz.... there was no "steady" improvement there.
Dear Optimist, Pessimist and Realist,
While you guys were busy
arguing about the glass of water,
I drank it!
Sincerely,
The Opportunist
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Whatever it takes
Just wanted to tweak your thread title a little:
Do what ever it takes to get Alex Smith to sign with Arizona (or the Jets or KC)
Anybody but us. Take another team off the market for drafting a QB.
Heck, let's have Arizona sign Fitzpatrick (his wife and children live in Phoenix) and have Jacksonville sign Alex Smith.
Then we only have to fight with KC and maybe the Jets in the 2nd round for a QB.
2014 Mock Draft
Draft a QB. Keep drafting QBs.
Fill the pipeline.
We need alex smith
Posting off topic since February 2008!
Disagree. I dont believe Smith to be much more then Fitz. I wouldnt do "whatever it takes" to get him. If he came cheap then sure. If he costs high draft picks and high salary cap hit then hell no.
Dear Optimist, Pessimist and Realist,
While you guys were busy
arguing about the glass of water,
I drank it!
Sincerely,
The Opportunist
Instead of "do whatever" to get Alex Smith it should be "do whatever" to get a QB period. The Seahawks signed Flyn last year but did that stop them from drafting a QB? I say fine go after Smith and you know what draft a QB in the second round also. A lot of their production is going to depend on our coaching staff regardless but the best thing we can do is get as much talent as possible.
Trading for Alex Smith=Bills history repeating itself a la Drew Bledsoe.
he will have a chance to go anywhere he wants to and that doesnt look good for buffalo !
"lets end this playoff drought"