
Originally Posted by
racketmaster
I don’t get it. The quarterbacks this year are too risky but the Bills should draft a wr like Patterson or Allen at 8.
I have posted some data from another site that showed 10 years worth of top 10 wide receivers. They actually were the only position that had a higher bust rate that quarterbacks
Position, total selections/number of busts, and ranked by highest BR (bust rate):
1. WR – 17/12 – 70% BR
2. QB – 15/9 - 60% BR
QB – Matt Ryan, (JaMarcus Russell), (Vince Young), (Matt Leinart), (Alex Smith), Eli Manning, Philip Rivers, Carson Palmer, (Byron Leftwich), (David Carr), (Joey Harrington), Michael Vick, (Tim Couch), Donovan McNabb, (Akili Smith)
WR – Calvin Johnson, (Ted Ginn Jr.), (Braylon Edwards), (Troy Williamson), (Mike Williams), Larry Fitzgerald, (Roy Williams), (Reggie Williams), (Charles Rogers), Andre Johnson, (David Terrell), (Koren Robinson), (Peter Warrick), Plaxico Burress, (Travis Taylor), Torry Holt, (David Boston)
Why are Patterson and Allen risks.
Cordarrelle Patterson 46 rec. for 778 yds. And 5td’s. He had had an 8.11% drop rate and played only 1 year of D1 football.
Keenan Allen lives on the short passes. 63.3% of Allen’s passes were caught within 5 yards of the line of scrimmage. Only 3.33% of his passes were past 20 yards. (according to second round stats).
Buddy has said in the past that it is easier to find wr’s in the middle rounds. If there was a Calvin Johnson type wr, that would be one thing but I just don’t see Buddy using pick 8 on Patterson or Allen.